Weather Blog - 96.3 The Zone

Ed McIntosh Weather Blog

  • We are not done with rain yet. Not even close.

    The same slow moving weather system that has been bringing cool and wet conditions for days continues Tuesday, and is still around Wednesday.

    Moderate to heavy rain is likely here and there, although the exact locations will be hard to pinpoint. There is a lot of available moisture in the atmosphere, and areas east of Billings may be the hardest hit Tuesday.

    Storms may not be as large and widespread as recent days. Rain continues, but decreases through Wednesday.

    The National Weather Service has Flood Watches in effect for much of the area west of Billings. Streams, rivers, and even ditches could rise rapidly, possibly leading to flooding. Do not cross a road covered in water, and rural roads may become too muddy to travel.

    Thursday looks warm and dry during the day, but showers and thunderstorms that could turn severe are possible by late Thursday.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… Cloudy to mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. A high near 69 with a light invariable North breeze. Patches of morning fog.

    Tuesday night… Showers and thunderstorms during the evening, and then a chance of showers overnight. Some storms could produce heavy rain. Otherwise, cloudy to mostly cloudy with a low of about 53.

    Wednesday… Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers or after dude thunderstorms. Around 71 for the high.

  • More rain is on the way, and it is not in the big hurry to leave.

    Showers and thunderstorms will continue Monday. Areas of locally heavy rain are possible, especially from Billings to the West.

    Likely rivers and streams will rise, with some localized flooding possible. Mountain snow will continue to affect the Beartooth Highway Monday as well.

    High temperatures will be mainly in the 60s Monday, with some 70s through northern Wyoming and extreme Southeast Montana. Overnight temperatures will be mainly in the 40s to mid 50s.

    The chance of showers and thunderstorms lingers through much of the week, but gradually tapers off. The best bet for the next warm and dry day is Thursday.

    Billings forecast:

    Monday… Rain showers with thunderstorms possible in the afternoon. A high of about 66. Northeast winds generally 5 to 15 mph.

    Monday night… Showers and a possible evening thunderstorms. Heavy rain possible. Low near 52.

    Tuesday… Cloudy to mostly cloudy with a chance of showers or thunderstorms. High around 67.

  • Warmer and dry weather for midweek with showers returning for the weekend.

    In the short-term, Wednesday and Thursday will be warm and dry, although occasionally a bit breezy. Expect sunshine Wednesday, with highs mainly in the 70s.

    West winds will be breezy at times, especially North of Billings. Relative humidity numbers will drop.

    Wednesday will be sunny and dry with temperatures warming in the 80s in the afternoon. Expect more sunshine, although a few evening showers or thunderstorms West of Billings are possible.

    Thursday becomes more unsettled, as an early-morning cold front will bring more afternoon clouds. By Friday, Saturday and Sunday, temperatures will slide mainly to the 60s with an increasing chance of widespread rain showers.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… High near 74 with sunshine in a West wind 10 to 20 mph.

    Tuesday night… Mostly clear and around 50 for the low.

    Wednesday… Sunny with a high near 85.

  • Favorable conditions for unfavorable weather Thursday afternoon.

    Strong to severe storms will likely form somewhere over the area Thursday afternoon and evening. The question now is where will the storms hit, and what will be the impacts.

    Storms could large damaging hail, strong winds, frequent lightning, with isolated areas of heavy rain. A funnel cloud or tornado would not be out of the question.

    High temperatures will be mainly in the 70s to mid 80s with increasing afternoon clouds. Best chance of storms will start in the afternoon through the evening hours.

    For Billings, the best chance of thunderstorms is likely between 5 and 9 PM. But storms could develop any time during the afternoon or evening.

    Billings forecast:

    Thursday… Increasing clouds with a high near 83. A chance of showers and thunderstorms kicks in by the afternoon.

    Thursday night… Chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially through sunset. Some storms could be severe. Gradual clearing overnight with a low of around 57.

    Friday… Sunny with a high of about 84.

  • The chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue in the evenings for the next couple of days. Some of the storms could be severe, with Thursday having the greatest chances for damaging storms.

    Afternoon high temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Expect sunshine during the day, but the humidity will remain fairly high.

    Storms will favor areas as far west as around Livingston to the North around Roundup to Forsyth South through northern Wyoming this evening. Northern Wyoming has the best chance of strong severe storms Wednesday evening.

    For Thursday, almost the entire region is under a greater risk of late day storms. Heavy rain, large hail, damaging winds, and frequent lightning could be expected with storms the develop.

    Billings forecast:

    Wednesday… Mostly sunny with a high near 81. East breeze by the afternoon.

    Wednesday night… Scattered showers and thunderstorms during the evening. Mostly cloudy with a low around 57.

    Thursday… Mostly sunny, but with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms through the day. Best chance of storms will be during the evening. Some storms could be severe. High about 81.

  • The chance of showers and strong to severe thunderstorms continues each day through the remainder of the week.

    There will be a continue chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, especially for areas East of Billings. A stronger disturbance will move over the area Wednesday.

    Some thunderstorms may be severe Tuesday or Wednesday with the potential of gusty winds, large hail, frequent lightning. A few storms may have heavy rain.

    Afternoon high temperatures Tuesday will be closer to seasonal averages, with about a 15° drop from Monday’s highs. Billings Logan Field reported a high of 90° on Monday, but highs in the mid 70s will be more widespread for Tuesday.

    Temperatures Wednesday will warm back to the lower 80s for most locations.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… Partly sunny with a chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High near 75.

    Tuesday night… Scattered isolated showers and thunderstorms with a low of about 54. Generally partly cloudy.

    Wednesday… Mostly sunny with a high around 82. Scattered showers and thunderstorms that could turn severe by the evening.

  • Monday will be the overall the warmest day so far in 2018. And it will end with at least isolated thunderstorms.

    The sunny, warm and dry conditions that persisted through the weekend peak today. Many of the high temperatures will be the warmest so far in 2018, hitting the upper 80s to low 90s.

    As a cold front moves through the area this evening, there will be a slight chance for shower thunderstorm especially in areas North the Billings.

    Some of the storms could be severe, with gusty winds being the number one threat. Areas of heavy rain and hail are also possible.

    Tuesday will be cooler, with highs mainly in the 70s to low 80s. There will be a better chance for showers and thunderstorms across the entire area Tuesday with increase humidity across the region.

    Billings forecast:

    Monday… Sunny and hot with a high near 91. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph.

    Monday night… Isolated showers and thunderstorms that could produce strong to severe weather. Otherwise partly cloudy with a low near 56.

    Tuesday… Mostly sunny with a high near 76. Scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening.

  • The risk of severe storms moves east while warmer weather is shifting in from the west.

    Showers and thunderstorms will continue through Friday. But without the instability in the atmosphere we experienced Thursday, the threat of hail and damaging winds is lower.

    Thunderstorms will be more isolated, and will favor areas well east of Billings, especially closer to the Dakotas. The best window for severe storms winds down during the early evening.

    A Ridge of high pressure brings a definite change in the weather pattern heading into Saturday and Sunday.

    While there will be periods of wind, the forecast will be dominated by sunshine and warming temperatures area highs on Saturday will be mainly in the 70s and breezy. By Sunday, highs of move into the mid to lower 80s with more sun.

    Billings forecast:

    Friday… A chance of showers and thunderstorms increasing in the afternoon. Otherwise generally partly cloudy with a high near 65. West wind could be breezy at times.

    Friday night… Partly cloudy with isolated storms before midnight. Low drops to about 46.

    Saturday… Sunny with a high around 76. West wind 10 to 20 mph.

  • Storms with large hail and damaging winds are possible Thursday evening.

    Thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening will be very hit-and-miss. But a few storms across the area could produce severe conditions. Hail and wind are the biggest threats, but pockets of heavy rain are also possible with frequent lightning.

    Watch for changing conditions, and take save cover if storms approach.

    Temperatures will be a little cooler from Billings to the West Thursday, with highs mainly in the 70s. Highs in the low 80s are still possible across the Eastern quarter of Montana.

    Behind Thursday nights thunderstorms, Friday will cool mainly to the 60s, with some low 70s in the Eastern plains.

    Humidity levels will remain high for this time of the year, giving fuel for more scattered showers and thunderstorms. However, the potential for strong to severe storms is much lower Friday.

    Drier and warmer conditions will return for the weekend.

    Billings forecast:

    Thursday… Partly sunny with a high of about 76. A chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Some storms could be severe.

    Thursday night… A chance of evening thunderstorm that could include damaging wind or large hail. Otherwise, a chance of rain showers overnight. Low of about 55.

    Friday… A mix of clouds and sun with scattered area showers and thunderstorms especially in the morning. Around 67 for the high.

  • As one strong storm system exits, the next arrives.

    More showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday, but rainfall amounts are trending lower than what fell on Monday. Arrives east of Billings are most likely to get rain with a few isolated storms.

    High temperatures will be mainly in the 70s. Expect a mix of clouds and sun with a West wind about 10 to 20 mph.

    Partly to mostly clear with mainly the 50s overnight.

    For Wednesday, expect the warmest temperatures of the week with a highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Sunshine early with a few isolated afternoon and evening storms.

    The next round of strong to severe storms is timing out to Thursday evening. The storms could contain damaging winds and hail along with heavy rain and frequent lightning.

    Stretches of many of the rivers are still running full or flooding. Conditions may worsen with additional rainfall in the coming days.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… Partly sunny with a high near 77. Isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.

    Tuesday night… Partly cloudy with a low of about 53.

    Wednesday… Sunny with a high around 82. A chance of showers and thunderstorms by Wednesday evening.